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Aerospace Report

Drones ‘R’ Us

While public perception of drone aircraft is driven by accounts of their military use in bombings and spying, legitimate public safety and agriculture are recognized as the primary markets for unmanned aerial systems (UAS) in the commercial marketplace. The public got a glimpse of their promise this summer, when firefighters battling the Yosemite Run fire in California benefited from an emergency Certificate of Authorization (COA) from the Federal Aviation Administration.

“The fire’s Incident Commander contacted the California governor’s office, which in turn contacted the Department of Defense and the FAA for help,” reads an FAA release from earlier this month. “The California Air National Guard sent the FAA a request on Sunday, August 25 to fly an MQ-1 unmanned aircraft over the Yosemite fire. In just a few hours, the FAA issued an emergency Certificate of Authorization (COA) approving the proposed operation. The MQ-1 began sending back invaluable real-time images the following Wednesday morning, and firefighters were able to make significant progress in slowing the fire’s advance.”

Such uses are why the FAA in February released a Screening Information Request (SIR) on the FAA Contracting Opportunities website which commences the selection process for six UAS Test Sites as required by the FAA Modernization and Reform Act of 2012. Through the Act, Congress directed the FAA to establish this program to conduct critical research into how best to safely integrate UAS systems into the national airspace over the next several years and what certification and navigation requirements will need to be established.

“We expect to learn how unmanned aircraft systems operate in different environments and how they will impact air traffic operations. The test sites will also inform the agency as we develop standards for certifying unmanned aircraft and determine necessary air traffic requirements,” said FAA Administrator Michael Huerta in February.

TestRangesWAstate

Among the attributes Washington State offers to the FAA are its numerous test ranges.
Image courtesy of Pacific Northwest Unmanned Aircraft Systems Flight Center

As of this summer, nearly half the 50 states had submitted a candidate site for the program (see map).

The FAA technical evaluation of submitted proposals considers geographic diversity, climatic diversity, location of ground infrastructure and research needs, population density and air traffic density, as well as specific goals and objectives to be accomplished. “The combined attributes across the test sites should provide the appropriate environment and opportunities to test UAS, although each test site will not have to provide all attributes,” said the FAA.

Along with the test site selection process, the FAA is sending a notice to the Federal Register asking the public to review the draft privacy language and provide comments. Under the FAA privacy proposal each test site operator must ensure that its privacy policies are informed by Fair Information Practice Principles, a widely accepted framework of privacy principles at the core of numerous federal and state privacy laws.

Among the candidates are sites or consortia in Nevada, North Dakota and Washington State, the latter working under the label Pacific Northwest Unmanned Aircraft Systems Flight Center. In California, NASA Research Park at Moffett Field and NASA’s Dryden Flight Research Center at Edwards in the Mojave Desert offer sterling assets for the industry, and research conducted there has paved the way for the presumed commercial development potential yet to come.

The Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International’s report The Economic Impact of Unmanned Aircraft Systems Integration in the United States, published in March 2013, shows the economic benefit of UAS integration into the national airspace (NAS … but did we really need one more acronym?).

CBPPredB_UnmannedDrone

As reported in the Sept. 2012 issue of Site Selection, U.S. Customs & Border Protection flies Predator B drones out of North Dakota, and benefits from a new training program run by the University of North Dakota at Grand Forks Air Base, part of a broader new focus on unmanned aircraft systems.

AUVSI’s findings show that in the first three years of integration more than 70,000 jobs will be created in the United States with an economic impact of more than $13.6 billion. This benefit will grow through 2025 when we foresee more than 100,000 jobs created and economic impact of $82 billion. (The link above also takes you to a map showing potential economic impact by state.)

The report notes that once UAS are integrated into US airspace, the most promising end-use markets are precision agriculture and safety. Among its other conclusions:

  • The economic impact of the integration of UAS into the NAS will total more than $13.6 billion in the first three years of integration and will grow sustainably for the foreseeable future, cumulating to more than $82.1 billion between 2015 and 2025.
  • Integration into the NAS will create more than 34,000 manufacturing jobs and more than 70,000 new jobs in the first three years.
  • By 2025, total job creation is estimated at 103,776.
  • The manufacturing jobs created will be high paying ($40,000) and require technical baccalaureate degrees.
  • Tax revenue to the states will total more than $482 million in the first 11 years following integration (2015-2025).
  • Every year that integration is delayed, the United States loses more than $10 billion in potential economic impact. “This translates to a loss of $27.6 million per day that UAS are not integrated into the NAS,” said the AUVSI.
  1. California
  2. Washington
  3. Texas
  4. Florida
  5. Arizona
  6. Connecticut
  7. Kansas
  8. Virginia
  9. New York
  10. Pennsylvania

The report also noted that the economic benefits to individual states “will not be evenly distributed.” The 10 states listed to the right, in rank order, are predicted to see the most gains in terms of job creation and additional revenue as production of UAS increase … presumably regardless of where the FAA puts its centers.

Al Palmer, director of the Center for UAS Research, Education and Training for John D. Odegard School of Aerospace Sciences, University of North Dakota, has seen more than three decades of aerospace and aviation industry growth and consolidation. But even he’s excited by inhabiting a future filled with uninhabited planes.

“UAS will be like what jet engines did to commercial air transport,” he said in an interview last year with Site Selection. “I can’t begin to think what they will be doing five years from now.”