AFIRE, the association for international real estate investors focused on commercial
property in the United States, last week released its latest International Investor Survey Report, underwritten by Holland
Partner Group. “The survey, conducted in late summer 2023, captures the view of global
institutional investors on a range of topics,” said the organization, “including a large
majority forecasting a decline in office values; a large uptick in office conversions over
the next five years (to residential and other purposes); and the notable impact of rising
or limited insurance premia affecting investment decisions into certain U.S. regions.
Nine in 10 investors forecast converting existing office properties to residential in the
next five years, the survey found. “In addition, survey respondents believe that more than
a third of office assets within their U.S. portfolios will require upgrading to meet
future occupancy demands for enhanced health, sustainability, and work style amenities.
Investors are also increasingly considering a variety of office transitions to other uses,
including industrial storage/data center (72%), hospitality/leisure (69%), and vertical farming (33%).”
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